Altcoins
Why the altcoin market is declining after the token is unlocked
Altcoins are facing an early crypto winter, mainly due to significant token unlocks in 2024.
According to Bloomberg, the first investors of the project seek to quickly sell the tokens received, wishing to guarantee profits in the short term. At the same time, they do not want to keep unlocked altcoins on their balance sheets, for future growth.
The data of Token unlocking The platform, which tracks 138 projects, says 120 are expected to release tokens in 2024. Analysts estimate the total market value of this volume of assets at $58 billion.
Edward Chin, co-founder of investment firm Parataxis Capital, believes that the massive sales of these assets are putting intense pressure on the altcoin market. At the same time, brokers often have to offer tokens from early investors to potential buyers at a discount of up to 40%.
“The market is strange right now, in that the many infrastructure projects that investors funded during the bear market are now coming up with their token launches, but there aren’t a ton of regular buyers of these tokens at high prices.”
Lex Sokolin, co-founder of Generative Ventures
How does unlocking affect tokens?
The timing and extent of token unlocking can have a significant impact on market dynamics. Unlocking multiple tokens at once may reduce buying interest and temporarily lower token prices.
Token unlock events can cause market fluctuations as investors react to the new token supply. Investors can adjust their positions based on the unlock schedule and the expected impact on token prices, resulting in price changes.
Which tokens crashed after unlocking?
For example, the token of dYdX project, DYDX, fell 61% in the last three months. At the time of writing, the asset’s price is $1.4 and its market capitalization is $838 million.
Source: CoinMarketCap
A similar situation is observed in the Pyth network (PYTH) and Avalanche (AVAX) projects. During the same period, their tokens fell by 55% and 66% respectively.
All three projects listed were released in May 2024. General market volatility is making the situation worse with altcoins. Of the 90+ largest crypto assets by market capitalization, only 12 have posted positive returns since mid-March 2024.
According to statistics, about 80 projects show negative dynamics for this indicator. At the same time, the price of 23 assets fell by more than 50%.
Crypto winter in the altcoin market
10xSearch analysts note that the price of the 115 largest altcoins has fallen more than 50% since their 2024 highs. This correction is essentially similar to the declines seen in previous market cycles in 2017 and 2021. Without an influx of new funds and without restoring liquidity, the altcoin price decline could continue.
Source: 10xSearch
“Today, altcoins are in a brutal bear market. In 2024, 73% of these 115 coins peaked in March. We were right to call for Bitcoin to outperform everything else, notably Ethereum, but at the beginning of March the situation changed.
10xSearch
While altcoins are falling, the two flagship cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), showed relative resilience. They are down 11% and 13% respectively from their highs this year.
“Surviving the altcoin bear market depends on one crucial factor: effective risk management. Token unlocking and unfavorable crypto liquidity indicators are the main catalysts for this altcoin crash.
10xSearch
In May, analysts warned of a potential decline in altcoin prices due to the release of a large volume of tokens. Nearly $2 billion in unlocked tokens are expected to enter the market before July, which could lead to a cryptocurrency sell-off and a drop in prices.
According to experts, this situation is due to the action of venture capital funds. In the first quarter of 2022, these funds invested $13 billion in altcoins. Under pressure from investors wishing to return their funds, venture capital funds are forced to sell their tokens. The situation is aggravated by growing investor interest in artificial intelligence (AI).
Should traders wait for altcoin season?
The sharing of Bitcoin the total capitalization of the entire crypto market, the volume of which is $2.4 trillion, is 54.6%. The so-called Bitcoin Dominance Index indicates the market cycle and investor sentiment, with smaller cryptocurrencies generally outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of growth rate.
Source: TradingView
Typically, the share of the leading digital currency in the total capitalization of the entire crypto market increases during cyclical industry downturns. During a bullish period in the market, when many altcoins are growing faster than Bitcoin, Bitcoin declines. So, the first cryptocurrency dominance index indicates the market cycle and investor sentiment.
Swissblock Analysts called the conditions for starting the altcoin season. Experts believe that traders should monitor the ETH/BTC price ratio, which is the price of Ethereum in Bitcoin equivalent. The growth of the ETH/BTC pair is traditionally seen as a harbinger of an influx of capital into alternatives.
Additionally, technical analyst Titan of Crypto also expressed confidence in the upcoming alt season in April.
According to him, the altcoin market is ready for significant growth. The analyst noted that the phase following the BTC halving usually becomes a turning point for them. Technical charts suggest that altcoins will soon take center stage, foreshadowing a potentially lucrative alt season.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials presented on this page are intended for educational purposes only.
Altcoins
Long-Term Impact of Ethereum ETF on Cryptocurrency Market
Popular crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has highlighted his altcoin portfolio approach in light of the new Ethereum ETF. In a recent Youtube videoThe analyst explained the measures he would take for this major market event.
The Ethereum ETF was listed on the stock exchange and it took time to get approval and so far there has been no significant change in price. The analyst pointed out that the long-term effect could be quite significant, comparing it to the situation of the Bitcoin ETF where the initial decline was followed by large inflows.
According to Van de Poppe, the Ethereum ETF’s trading volume on the first day of trading was about 25% of the volume Bitcoin ETF He noted that the first day of trading was marked by low inflation, and said there was a net inflow of $150 million to $160 million, which reduced the available supply.
Altcoins are poised for growth
The analyst said that as Ethereum adoption increases in the future, the supply of Ethereum will decrease, which is a deflationary model. Ethereum is up about 15% since the ETF approval, the broader market reaction has yet to happen as several sell-offs have taken place, including the Grayscale Trust.
Van de Poppe also mentioned other important market events, including the end of Mount Gox The process of repaying creditors initially caused tensions in the markets, but had little effect subsequently. It also highlighted the role of macroeconomic factors, which can lead to Fed rate cuts, which can affect markets.
In this regard, looking at van de Poppe’s strategy, he is still keen to trade within the altcoins of the Ethereum ecosystem. He stated that there is a possibility of short-term price fluctuations that may discourage many people, but the long-term still looks good due to the improvement and adaptation that has been made to Ethereum and its environment.
According to the analyst, substantial inflows could propel Ethereum towards new historic highs with estimates ranging from $5,000 to $7,000. Despite the current market fluctuations, he is confident that macroeconomic changes and greater liquidity will be favorable for altcoins.
He explained that his broad approach to altcoins, especially those associated with Ethereum, will be beneficial because the market will react differently to these events. The basis for his optimism comes from the fact that he believes that Ethereum and all associated projects are still extremely undervalued and have the potential to skyrocket as sentiment changes.
Looking ahead and market adjustments regarding the Ethereum ETF and other macroeconomic factors, the analyst remains bullish on altcoins. He suggested investors stay informed and believe that in the ever-changing world of crypto, they will eventually be rewarded.
Altcoins
Altcoins Are Severely Undervalued, Awaiting Ethereum Move | Flash News Detail
Disclaimer
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Altcoins
Altcoins Correct Amid ETH Decline, Grayscale Outflows | Flash News Detail
Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Blockchain.news provides content for informational purposes only. Under no circumstances shall blockchain.news be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of, or inability to use, the information provided. This includes, but is not limited to, any loss or damage resulting from decisions made based on the content. Readers should conduct their own research and consult professionals before making any financial decisions.
Altcoins
Epic Altcoin Rally Expected for August and September
- Crypto analyst predicts massive altcoin rally similar to Q1 2024, urging patience and accumulation.
- Bitcoin’s potential as a reserve asset and its technical patterns suggest that it will drive the rise of the cryptocurrency market.
Captain Faibik, a renowned crypto analyst, has created excitement in the cryptocurrency sector with his latest prediction. He indicated that we are on the cusp of a massive altcoin rally, similar to the one we saw in Q1 2024.
See more
We are on the verge of a massive Altcoin rally, similar to Q1 2024📈
Keep accumulating and hold with patience. (Patience will be rewarded)
The majority of #Altcoins have already hit rock bottom and are about to escape.
In my opinion, August-September is going to be epic for Altcoins.🚀🚀#Crypto pic.twitter.com/cMdHagiaYc
— Captain Faibik (@CryptoFaibik) July 24, 2024
Accumulating and Holding Altcoins: The Path to Potential Profits
He stressed the need to accumulate altcoins and hold them patiently, as it will eventually pay off. According to him, the majority of altcoins have already bottomed out and are about to break it. He believes August and September will be epic months for altcoins.
In a chart posted by Captain Faibik, the overall crypto market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ether, known as TOTAL3, is approaching the upper boundary of a descending channel pattern.
This context suggests a potential breakout and a significant rally towards the $1 trillion mark. Technically, the decline since mid-March is interpreted as a corrective trend for the value of TOTAL3, signaling a preparation to enter a rally structure.
Bitcoin’s influence and legislative developments suggest good prospects for the future
Furthermore, based on sentiment and technical patterns, Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, appears poised to lead the charge in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s performance often sets the tone for the market as a whole, and a strong move in BTC could trigger a significant rally in altcoins.
Previously, as we have already said reportedSenator Cynthia Lummis said she plans to introduce a bill at the upcoming Bitcoin conference that would require the Federal Reserve to hold Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
If this law passes, the US will treat BTC as a long-term investment rather than selling huge amounts infrequently, which could disrupt the market.
In addition, asset management firm VanEck has proposed a bold scenario in which Bitcoin Price Could Reach $2.9 Million Per BTC By 2050based on its fundamental outlook. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets at VanEck, and senior investment analyst Patrick Bush noted that their estimate is based on Bitcoin’s adoption as a global medium of exchange and reserve asset.
As Bitcoin price increases, altcoins are expected to gain popularity, indicating the start of a bullish rally shortly after the BTC halving event.
Meanwhile, at the time of writing, the price of BTC was hovering around $67,007.99up 4.67% over the past 24 hours following a short-term correction.
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