Altcoins
Altcoin season coming soon? Quant says this Ethereum model could suggest it
A quant explained how a trend currently forming in Ethereum Open Interest could imply that altcoin season is coming “earlier than expected.”
Altcoin season could soon be approaching based on the Ethereum model
In a CryptoQuant Quicktake joban analyst has explained why an altcoin season could soon be arriving for the cryptocurrency sector, based on a trend occurring in a few Ethereum and Bitcoin indicators.
The first relevant measure here is the “Open Interest”, which tracks the total amount of derivatives positions linked to a given asset currently open on all centralized exchanges.
When the value of this metric increases, it means that speculators are currently opening new positions for the coin. On the other hand, a decline implies that users close their positions of their own accord or are forcibly liquidated by their platform.
Now here is a chart that shows how the Open Interest trend has compared between Bitcoin and Ethereum over the past year:
The value of the metric appears to have increased for ETH in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant
As the chart above shows, Bitcoin Open Interest has recently been moving more or less sideways, while at the same time the metric has seen growth for Ethereum.
This suggests that ETH has recently seen more appetite for derivatives market contracts than for the original cryptocurrency. One of the determining factors in this situation could be the news cycle related to the approval of the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the asset.
In the same chart, the quant also attached data from another indicator: the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR). This metric measures the ratio of open interest to foreign exchange reserve for any asset. The latter naturally corresponds to the total amount of the coin that is currently in the wallets of all centralized exchanges.
The ELR essentially provides us with information on the amount of leverage that the average derivatives market user currently opts for. From the chart, it is visible that this ratio has recently seen an increase for Ethereum, but has shown stable action for Bitcoin.
So, it would appear that not only has ETH recently attracted more speculative interest than BTC, but those users who open contracts also face higher risks as they take on more leverage.
The analyst believes that the fact that Ethereum has surpassed Bitcoin in these indicators could be a potential sign that an altcoin season could soon be approaching.
“If Ethereum price continues to consolidate in the current range, it is very possible that the altcoin season will start sooner than expected,” notes the quant. It now remains to be seen how things will develop in the market in the near future, given this change in trend.
ETH Price
After seeing a slowdown earlier, Ethereum has returned to track in recent days, with its price now back above the $3,900 level.
It seems that the price of the asset has recovered over the last two days | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView
Featured image of Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Altcoins
Long-Term Impact of Ethereum ETF on Cryptocurrency Market
Popular crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has highlighted his altcoin portfolio approach in light of the new Ethereum ETF. In a recent Youtube videoThe analyst explained the measures he would take for this major market event.
The Ethereum ETF was listed on the stock exchange and it took time to get approval and so far there has been no significant change in price. The analyst pointed out that the long-term effect could be quite significant, comparing it to the situation of the Bitcoin ETF where the initial decline was followed by large inflows.
According to Van de Poppe, the Ethereum ETF’s trading volume on the first day of trading was about 25% of the volume Bitcoin ETF He noted that the first day of trading was marked by low inflation, and said there was a net inflow of $150 million to $160 million, which reduced the available supply.
Altcoins are poised for growth
The analyst said that as Ethereum adoption increases in the future, the supply of Ethereum will decrease, which is a deflationary model. Ethereum is up about 15% since the ETF approval, the broader market reaction has yet to happen as several sell-offs have taken place, including the Grayscale Trust.
Van de Poppe also mentioned other important market events, including the end of Mount Gox The process of repaying creditors initially caused tensions in the markets, but had little effect subsequently. It also highlighted the role of macroeconomic factors, which can lead to Fed rate cuts, which can affect markets.
In this regard, looking at van de Poppe’s strategy, he is still keen to trade within the altcoins of the Ethereum ecosystem. He stated that there is a possibility of short-term price fluctuations that may discourage many people, but the long-term still looks good due to the improvement and adaptation that has been made to Ethereum and its environment.
According to the analyst, substantial inflows could propel Ethereum towards new historic highs with estimates ranging from $5,000 to $7,000. Despite the current market fluctuations, he is confident that macroeconomic changes and greater liquidity will be favorable for altcoins.
He explained that his broad approach to altcoins, especially those associated with Ethereum, will be beneficial because the market will react differently to these events. The basis for his optimism comes from the fact that he believes that Ethereum and all associated projects are still extremely undervalued and have the potential to skyrocket as sentiment changes.
Looking ahead and market adjustments regarding the Ethereum ETF and other macroeconomic factors, the analyst remains bullish on altcoins. He suggested investors stay informed and believe that in the ever-changing world of crypto, they will eventually be rewarded.
Altcoins
Altcoins Are Severely Undervalued, Awaiting Ethereum Move | Flash News Detail
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Altcoins
Altcoins Correct Amid ETH Decline, Grayscale Outflows | Flash News Detail
Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Blockchain.news provides content for informational purposes only. Under no circumstances shall blockchain.news be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of, or inability to use, the information provided. This includes, but is not limited to, any loss or damage resulting from decisions made based on the content. Readers should conduct their own research and consult professionals before making any financial decisions.
Altcoins
Epic Altcoin Rally Expected for August and September
- Crypto analyst predicts massive altcoin rally similar to Q1 2024, urging patience and accumulation.
- Bitcoin’s potential as a reserve asset and its technical patterns suggest that it will drive the rise of the cryptocurrency market.
Captain Faibik, a renowned crypto analyst, has created excitement in the cryptocurrency sector with his latest prediction. He indicated that we are on the cusp of a massive altcoin rally, similar to the one we saw in Q1 2024.
See more
We are on the verge of a massive Altcoin rally, similar to Q1 2024📈
Keep accumulating and hold with patience. (Patience will be rewarded)
The majority of #Altcoins have already hit rock bottom and are about to escape.
In my opinion, August-September is going to be epic for Altcoins.🚀🚀#Crypto pic.twitter.com/cMdHagiaYc
— Captain Faibik (@CryptoFaibik) July 24, 2024
Accumulating and Holding Altcoins: The Path to Potential Profits
He stressed the need to accumulate altcoins and hold them patiently, as it will eventually pay off. According to him, the majority of altcoins have already bottomed out and are about to break it. He believes August and September will be epic months for altcoins.
In a chart posted by Captain Faibik, the overall crypto market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ether, known as TOTAL3, is approaching the upper boundary of a descending channel pattern.
This context suggests a potential breakout and a significant rally towards the $1 trillion mark. Technically, the decline since mid-March is interpreted as a corrective trend for the value of TOTAL3, signaling a preparation to enter a rally structure.
Bitcoin’s influence and legislative developments suggest good prospects for the future
Furthermore, based on sentiment and technical patterns, Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, appears poised to lead the charge in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s performance often sets the tone for the market as a whole, and a strong move in BTC could trigger a significant rally in altcoins.
Previously, as we have already said reportedSenator Cynthia Lummis said she plans to introduce a bill at the upcoming Bitcoin conference that would require the Federal Reserve to hold Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
If this law passes, the US will treat BTC as a long-term investment rather than selling huge amounts infrequently, which could disrupt the market.
In addition, asset management firm VanEck has proposed a bold scenario in which Bitcoin Price Could Reach $2.9 Million Per BTC By 2050based on its fundamental outlook. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets at VanEck, and senior investment analyst Patrick Bush noted that their estimate is based on Bitcoin’s adoption as a global medium of exchange and reserve asset.
As Bitcoin price increases, altcoins are expected to gain popularity, indicating the start of a bullish rally shortly after the BTC halving event.
Meanwhile, at the time of writing, the price of BTC was hovering around $67,007.99up 4.67% over the past 24 hours following a short-term correction.
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