Altcoins
The Altcoin party is on hold? Index hints at stagnant market
The cryptocurrency market has seen notable price movements since the start of the year, with Bitcoin (BTC) is leading the charge. Despite Bitcoin’s impressive run, the long-awaited altcoin season has yet to materialize.
Altcoin enthusiasts are wondering if the current trends in Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins are enough to trigger this market shift.
Bitcoin Market Domination
Bitcoin continues to occupy a dominant presence in the cryptocurrency market. According to CoinMarketCapBitcoin dominance remains above 50%, meaning more than half of the market capitalization is tied to BTC.
This high level of dominance is a significant factor preventing the start of an altcoin season, as it limits the market share available to other cryptocurrencies.
The Altcoin Season Index: A Measure of Market Changes
A key metric to gauge the start of the altcoin season is the Altcoin Season Index from blockchaincenter.net. Currently, this index stands at 35. For an official altcoin season to be declared, the index must reach 75.
Source: BlockchainCenter
This threshold is reached when 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform Bitcoin. Although some individual altcoins are showing strong performance, broader market trends indicate that we are not yet in an altcoin season.
Ethereum, the second largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has shown significant upward movements. Currently trading at around $3,889, Ethereum has maintained a strong uptrend as indicated by its Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Historically, Ethereum rallies have often marked the start of the altcoin season. However, broader market metrics need to align for this trend to hold.
Source: CoinMarketCap
While Bitcoin and Ethereum are grabbing headlines, other altcoins are making waves with remarkable gains. Pepe (PEPE) has surged more than 1,000% in the past three months, significantly outperforming Bitcoin.
Similarly, Dogwifhat (WIF) increased by almost 900% during the same period, demonstrating strong bullish trends. These lesser-known altcoins are attracting significant investor interest, contributing to localized changes in market capitalization.
Total crypto market cap at $2.5 trillion on the daily chart: TradingView.com
Market capitalization and investor behavior
The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is approximately $2.55 trillion. In this context, altcoins hold less than 50%, with Ethereum alone representing 18%.
Investors often seek higher short-term gains by shifting their investments from Bitcoin to altcoins, especially when the Bitcoin price stabilizes. This behavior can drive up altcoin prices and redistribute market capitalization towards these smaller cryptocurrencies.
Despite the strong performance of individual altcoins, several factors are holding back the broader altcoin season. The high price of Bitcoin may pose a barrier for new traders, who may prefer to invest in cheaper altcoins.
Additionally, for a full-fledged altcoin season to begin, a greater redistribution of market capitalization from Bitcoin to altcoins is necessary. This shift does not just depend on the performance of a few altcoins, but requires more widespread and consistent outperformance of Bitcoin among the top 50 cryptocurrencies.
Featured image from Pintu, chart from TradingView
Altcoins
Long-Term Impact of Ethereum ETF on Cryptocurrency Market
Popular crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe has highlighted his altcoin portfolio approach in light of the new Ethereum ETF. In a recent Youtube videoThe analyst explained the measures he would take for this major market event.
The Ethereum ETF was listed on the stock exchange and it took time to get approval and so far there has been no significant change in price. The analyst pointed out that the long-term effect could be quite significant, comparing it to the situation of the Bitcoin ETF where the initial decline was followed by large inflows.
According to Van de Poppe, the Ethereum ETF’s trading volume on the first day of trading was about 25% of the volume Bitcoin ETF He noted that the first day of trading was marked by low inflation, and said there was a net inflow of $150 million to $160 million, which reduced the available supply.
Altcoins are poised for growth
The analyst said that as Ethereum adoption increases in the future, the supply of Ethereum will decrease, which is a deflationary model. Ethereum is up about 15% since the ETF approval, the broader market reaction has yet to happen as several sell-offs have taken place, including the Grayscale Trust.
Van de Poppe also mentioned other important market events, including the end of Mount Gox The process of repaying creditors initially caused tensions in the markets, but had little effect subsequently. It also highlighted the role of macroeconomic factors, which can lead to Fed rate cuts, which can affect markets.
In this regard, looking at van de Poppe’s strategy, he is still keen to trade within the altcoins of the Ethereum ecosystem. He stated that there is a possibility of short-term price fluctuations that may discourage many people, but the long-term still looks good due to the improvement and adaptation that has been made to Ethereum and its environment.
According to the analyst, substantial inflows could propel Ethereum towards new historic highs with estimates ranging from $5,000 to $7,000. Despite the current market fluctuations, he is confident that macroeconomic changes and greater liquidity will be favorable for altcoins.
He explained that his broad approach to altcoins, especially those associated with Ethereum, will be beneficial because the market will react differently to these events. The basis for his optimism comes from the fact that he believes that Ethereum and all associated projects are still extremely undervalued and have the potential to skyrocket as sentiment changes.
Looking ahead and market adjustments regarding the Ethereum ETF and other macroeconomic factors, the analyst remains bullish on altcoins. He suggested investors stay informed and believe that in the ever-changing world of crypto, they will eventually be rewarded.
Altcoins
Altcoins Are Severely Undervalued, Awaiting Ethereum Move | Flash News Detail
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Altcoins
Altcoins Correct Amid ETH Decline, Grayscale Outflows | Flash News Detail
Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Blockchain.news provides content for informational purposes only. Under no circumstances shall blockchain.news be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of, or inability to use, the information provided. This includes, but is not limited to, any loss or damage resulting from decisions made based on the content. Readers should conduct their own research and consult professionals before making any financial decisions.
Altcoins
Epic Altcoin Rally Expected for August and September
- Crypto analyst predicts massive altcoin rally similar to Q1 2024, urging patience and accumulation.
- Bitcoin’s potential as a reserve asset and its technical patterns suggest that it will drive the rise of the cryptocurrency market.
Captain Faibik, a renowned crypto analyst, has created excitement in the cryptocurrency sector with his latest prediction. He indicated that we are on the cusp of a massive altcoin rally, similar to the one we saw in Q1 2024.
See more
We are on the verge of a massive Altcoin rally, similar to Q1 2024📈
Keep accumulating and hold with patience. (Patience will be rewarded)
The majority of #Altcoins have already hit rock bottom and are about to escape.
In my opinion, August-September is going to be epic for Altcoins.🚀🚀#Crypto pic.twitter.com/cMdHagiaYc
— Captain Faibik (@CryptoFaibik) July 24, 2024
Accumulating and Holding Altcoins: The Path to Potential Profits
He stressed the need to accumulate altcoins and hold them patiently, as it will eventually pay off. According to him, the majority of altcoins have already bottomed out and are about to break it. He believes August and September will be epic months for altcoins.
In a chart posted by Captain Faibik, the overall crypto market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ether, known as TOTAL3, is approaching the upper boundary of a descending channel pattern.
This context suggests a potential breakout and a significant rally towards the $1 trillion mark. Technically, the decline since mid-March is interpreted as a corrective trend for the value of TOTAL3, signaling a preparation to enter a rally structure.
Bitcoin’s influence and legislative developments suggest good prospects for the future
Furthermore, based on sentiment and technical patterns, Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, appears poised to lead the charge in the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s performance often sets the tone for the market as a whole, and a strong move in BTC could trigger a significant rally in altcoins.
Previously, as we have already said reportedSenator Cynthia Lummis said she plans to introduce a bill at the upcoming Bitcoin conference that would require the Federal Reserve to hold Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
If this law passes, the US will treat BTC as a long-term investment rather than selling huge amounts infrequently, which could disrupt the market.
In addition, asset management firm VanEck has proposed a bold scenario in which Bitcoin Price Could Reach $2.9 Million Per BTC By 2050based on its fundamental outlook. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets at VanEck, and senior investment analyst Patrick Bush noted that their estimate is based on Bitcoin’s adoption as a global medium of exchange and reserve asset.
As Bitcoin price increases, altcoins are expected to gain popularity, indicating the start of a bullish rally shortly after the BTC halving event.
Meanwhile, at the time of writing, the price of BTC was hovering around $67,007.99up 4.67% over the past 24 hours following a short-term correction.
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