Altcoins
Historical trends suggest Altcoins will peak in October 2025, 546 days after the halving
When will the altcoin bull run start? This question is currently on the minds of all investors, but no definitive answer has yet been provided. However, in the latest episode of Working Channel Money, the analyst noted that in the previous two cycles, altcoins peaked exactly 546 days after the halving.
If this cycle follows the same pattern, it suggests an altcoin peak by October 2025, coinciding with market peak estimates. This trend was observed in 2016 and 2020, and the analyst predicts the same for 2025.
However, certain factors such as cycle acceleration and macroeconomic influences could lead to an earlier peak. While relying on just two data points may be overly simplistic, it nonetheless suggests that we are early in the altcoin cycle. Currently, Bitcoin dominance is increasing and altcoins have taken a back seat despite increasing 24-hour trading volumes. Recent sell-offs have been seen, but the market cap remains around $2.45 trillion with neutral sentiment.
Looking at the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding Bitcoin, the analyst said it was around 60% below its all-time high. Typically, once the all-time high is reached, altcoins rebound significantly. Given that there is already some time after the halving, an additional 60% surge to the peak and subsequent explosion could occur within 546 days.
For altcoins excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, the market cap is about 75% below its all-time high. This suggests considerable room for growth. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $66,800 with minimal volatility. The altcoin market has seen minor fluctuations recently, but significant upward movements are expected, with potential daily gains of 10-90% during the euphoria phase.
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